University of Minnesota
College of Food, Agricultural and Natural Resource Sciences
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Forest Ecology Lab

Global Climate Change Effects on Temperate and Boreal Forests

B4WARMED stands for: Boreal Forest Warming at an Ecotone in Danger.
The project is funded by the Department of Energy. Principal Investigators are Peter Reich (PI), Rebecca Montgomery, Sarah Hobbie, Jacek Oleksyn and Roy Rich (co-investigators). The research seeks to help answer the question, "How will Minnesota tree species respond to a warming climate?"

The global climate system is being altered by anthropogenic emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases, increasing temperatures worldwide, particularly at northern latitudes. The pace of global climate change, including warming, is expected to accelerate in the coming century, as atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases continue to increase. In Minnesota, our climate has migrated 70 miles north in the past 50 years, and may migrate 125-250 miles further north in the next 50 years.

Northern Minnesota is a focal point of potential climate warming impacts because it sits at the transition – or ecotone- between the boreal and temperate forest zones. Most tree species in these forests (like aspen, spruce, and birch) are common in the boreal forests to our north in Canada or in the temperate maple-oak forests common to Wisconsin and places south and east. Increasing oak-maple dominance in our forest communities under a warmer future would represent a shift from our boreal heritage. However, both the northern and temperate tree species may perform poorly under warmer conditions. If so, neither our current forest trees nor their potential replacements may be well suited to our future climate. This experiment will enable us to assess the potential for climate change to alter future forest composition by experimentally warming forest plots (with infrared lamps and soil heating cables). We are documenting the effects on establishment, growth, and survival of seedlings of ten important tree species near their warmer (boreal species: Pinus banksiana, Picea glauca, Abies balsamea, Populus tremuloides, Betula papyrifera) or colder (temperate species: Pinus strobus, Quercus macrocarpa, Quercus rubra, Acer rubrum, Acer saccharum) range limits in northern Minnesota, in order to understand how germination, growth and survival at the establishment stage are influenced by direct and indirect climate effects.

latitude ranges figure

Our central hypothesis is that warming treatments will enhance growth and survival of temperate species at the cold (northern) edge of their range but reduce growth and survival of boreal species at the warm (southern) edge of their range.

Research sites are located at the Cloquet Forestry Center, near Cloquet, MN and at the Hubachek Wilderness Research Center near Ely, MN.

To date, we have achieved temperature elevation near our targets.  Warmed season means across 2009-2012 field seasons were +1.9C and +3.5C for soil temperature at 10 cm depth.  Aboveground means were +1.6C and +3.3C from infrared radiometer measurements of canopy surface temperature.

In 2012, we installed and deployed event-based rain exclosures on 18 plots in the open canopy replicates of the warming experiment where we could safely and reliably remove rainfall without complications from tree damage to shelters and stem flow from large trees.  Mean rainfall exclusion from June until September was approximately 42-45% at both sites. 

Growth and survival patterns across the 2008-2012 have been consistent with hypotheses. Boreal species, especially conifers, tended to show negative
responses to warming for survival and growth of juveniles whether from the planted seeding or planted seed cohorts (of different ages) or both.  Balsam fir and white spruce tended to have the most negative responses. Temperate broadleave species (oak and maples) by contrast tended to have neutral or positive growth and survival responses. Such responses are consistent with in situ photosynthesis responses. Additionally, rising temperatures can affect plant performance indirectly by increasing nutrient availability in soil via accelerating microbial activities. Both shoot and root biomass were significantly increased in soils from the warmed soils; however, significant differences were mainly found between ambient and +3.4 °C temperature treatments. This is a clear indication that warming treatment modified soil processes in significant ways.

This research is supported by the Office of Science (BER), U.S. Department of Energy, Grant No. DE-FG02-07ER64456.

Publications:
Brzostek, ER, JM Blair, JS Dukes, SD Frey, SE Hobbie, JM Melillo, RJ Mitchell, E Pendall, PB Reich, GR Shaver, A Stefanski, MG Tjoelker, AC Finzi. 2012. The effect of experimental warming and precipitation change on proteolytic enzyme activity: positive feedbacks to nitrogen availability are not universal (.pdf) Global Change Biology 18:2617-2625.

Poorter, H, K Niklas, PB Reich, J Oleksyn, P Poot, L Mommer. 2012. Biomass allocation to leaves, stems and roots: meta-analyses of interspecific variation and environmental control. (.pdf)  2012. (Tansley Review) New Phytologist 193:30-50. doi:10.1111/j.1469-8137.2011.03952.x

Wang, YP, XJ Lu, IJ Wright, YJ Dai, PJ Rayner, PB Reich. 2012. Correlations among leaf traits provide a significant constraint on the estimate of global gross primary production.(.pdf) Geophysical Res Lett 39: L19405, doi:10.1029/2012GL05346

Eisenhauer, N., N.A. Fisichelli, L.E. Frelich and P.B. Reich. 2011. Interactive effects of global warming and ‘global worming’ on the initial establishment of native and exotic herbaceous plant species. (.pdf) Oikos doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2011.19807.x

Posters:
Eddy III, W.C., S.E. Hobbie, A. Stefanski, K. Rice, R.L. Rich, P.B. Reich. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Effects of soil moisture on soil organic matter decomposition. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Montgomery, R.A., P.B. Reich, A. Stefanski, R.L. Rich. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Phenological responses of dominant tree species at the temperate-boreal ecotone. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Montgomery, R.A., R.L. Rich, A. Stefanski, K.E. Rice, S.E. Hobbie, P.B. Reich. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Effects of warming on seedling growth of co-occurring temperate and boreal species. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Reich, P.B., R. L. Rich, A. Stefanski, K. Sendall, R.A. Montgomery, S.E. Hobbie, C.-M. Zhao, Karen Rice. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Species geographic distributions predict photosynthetic responses of local ecotypes to climate warming. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Rice, K.E., R.A. Montgomery, R.L. Rich, N.A. Fisichelli, M.-H. Jacques, A. Stefanski, P.B. Reich.  2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Increased temperature effects on herbaceous plant phenology. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Rich, R.L., A. Stefanski, R.A. Montgomery, S.E. Hobbie, P.B. Reich. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Design and implementation of four years of concurrent above- and below-ground warming at the temperate-boreal ecotone. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Sendall, K.M., R.A. Montgomery, R.L. Rich, A. Stefanski, K. Rice, J. Hou, X. Wei, P. B. Reich. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Effects on photosynthetic temperature optima of temperate and boreal tree species. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug 4-9, 2013.

Smith, D.P., P.B. Reich, S. E. Hobbie, A. Stefanski, K.G. Peay. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Effects on diversity, community structure and function of soil fungi and bacteria. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.

Thakur, M.P., P.B. Reich, N. Fisichelli, A. Stefanski, S. Cesarz, T. Dobies, R. L. Rich, S. Hobbie, N. Eisenhauer. 2013. B4WarmED forest warming experiment: Shifts in nematode community influence plant cover and composition. Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, Aug. 4-9, 2013.